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📊 Texas · Housing Market 2026

Austin Housing Market Data 2026

Median prices, cap rates, rent benchmarks, and investment outlook for Austin, Texas — data sourced from Zillow, HUD FMR, and Census ACS.
🔴 Weak Market Median Price:$480,000 Cap Rate:4.1% Vacancy:9.2% 12-Mo Outlook:▼ Bearish
$480,000
Median Home Price
YoY: -3.2%
4.1%
Avg Cap Rate
Cash-on-cash: 4.1%
$1,900
Median Rent (2BR/mo)
YoY: -2.1%
9.2%
Vacancy Rate
High — watch carefully
45 days
Days on Market
Moderate pace
$480,000 / 4.1%
Price / Cap Rate
🔴 Weak Market

📈 Market Analysis — Austin, TX

**Austin, Texas: 2026 Real Estate Investment Analysis**

The Austin market in 2

🔮 12-Month Predictive Outlook View All Markets →

Price Trend
▼ Bearish
12-mo forecast: $466,165
Confidence: 92%
Rent Growth
▼ Declining
12-mo forecast: $1,873/mo
Confidence: 90%
Emerging Score
38/100
Confidence: 92%
Price Momentum -3.2% YoY (national: +2.3%)
Days on Market 45 days (national avg: 38)
Predictions are rule-based forecasts based on price momentum, rent data, vacancy trends, and population growth. Not investment advice. See full rankings →

🏘️ Rent Breakdown — HUD Fair Market Rents

HUD Fair Market Rent represents the 40th percentile of gross rents paid by recent movers in Austin. Used as a benchmark for Section 8 voucher limits and rental market analysis.

Bedroom Count Monthly Rent (HUD FMR) Annual Rental Income Est. Cap Rate at Median Price
1 Bedroom $1,550/mo $18,600/yr 2.7% est.
2 Bedrooms $1,900/mo $22,800/yr 3.3% est.
3 Bedrooms $2,500/mo $30,000/yr 4.4% est.
* Estimated cap rate uses the 70% rule (30% reserved for expenses). Actual cap rates vary by property and management style.

💰 Cost of Investing in Austin

Cost ItemRate / AmountEst. Annual CostMonthly Cost
Property Tax 1.6% effective rate $7,680 $640/mo
Homeowners Insurance Texas avg premium $2,200 $183/mo
Total Tax + Insurance Based on median home price of $480,000 $823/mo

These figures reflect state-level averages. Property tax rates vary by county; insurance costs vary by property type, age, and claims history. Source: Tax Foundation (2025), NAIC (2024).

⚖️ How Austin Compares to National Averages

Avg Cap Rate
4.1%
National avg: 5.5%
Below average
Median Home Price
$480,000
National avg: $371,696
Above national avg
Vacancy Rate
9.2%
National avg: 7.6%
Above avg vacancy
2BR Median Rent
$1,900/mo
National avg: $1,753/mo
Days on Market
45 days
National avg: 38 days
Price Growth YoY
-3.2%
National avg: +2.3%

National averages calculated across all 69 tracked US investor markets. A cap rate above the national average suggests stronger cash flow potential relative to purchase price.

Related Guides & Resources
BRRRR Strategy Guide Vacancy Rate Calculator Rental Yield Calculator Market Rankings Best Market Data Tools All Markets
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