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📊 Florida · Housing Market 2026

Tampa Housing Market Data 2026

Median prices, cap rates, rent benchmarks, and investment outlook for Tampa, Florida — data sourced from Zillow, HUD FMR, and Census ACS.
🔴 Weak Market Median Price:$370,000 Cap Rate:4.9% Vacancy:7.8% 12-Mo Outlook:→ Neutral
$370,000
Median Home Price
YoY: +0.4%
4.9%
Avg Cap Rate
Cash-on-cash: 4.7%
$1,900
Median Rent (2BR/mo)
YoY: +1.2%
7.8%
Vacancy Rate
High — watch carefully
34 days
Days on Market
Moderate pace
$370,000 / 4.9%
Price / Cap Rate
🔴 Weak Market

📈 Market Analysis — Tampa, FL

As of 2026, the Tampa real estate market has transitioned from a period of hyper-growth into

🔮 12-Month Predictive Outlook View All Markets →

Price Trend
→ Neutral
12-mo forecast: $372,211
Confidence: 92%
Rent Growth
→ Stable
12-mo forecast: $1,924/mo
Confidence: 90%
Emerging Score
48/100
Confidence: 92%
Price Momentum +0.4% YoY (national: +2.3%)
Days on Market 34 days (national avg: 38)
Predictions are rule-based forecasts based on price momentum, rent data, vacancy trends, and population growth. Not investment advice. See full rankings →

🏘️ Rent Breakdown — HUD Fair Market Rents

HUD Fair Market Rent represents the 40th percentile of gross rents paid by recent movers in Tampa. Used as a benchmark for Section 8 voucher limits and rental market analysis.

Bedroom Count Monthly Rent (HUD FMR) Annual Rental Income Est. Cap Rate at Median Price
1 Bedroom $1,550/mo $18,600/yr 3.5% est.
2 Bedrooms $1,900/mo $22,800/yr 4.3% est.
3 Bedrooms $2,400/mo $28,800/yr 5.4% est.
* Estimated cap rate uses the 70% rule (30% reserved for expenses). Actual cap rates vary by property and management style.

💰 Cost of Investing in Tampa

Cost ItemRate / AmountEst. Annual CostMonthly Cost
Property Tax 0.8% effective rate $3,034 $253/mo
Homeowners Insurance Florida avg premium $3,650 $304/mo
Total Tax + Insurance Based on median home price of $370,000 $557/mo

These figures reflect state-level averages. Property tax rates vary by county; insurance costs vary by property type, age, and claims history. Source: Tax Foundation (2025), NAIC (2024).

⚖️ How Tampa Compares to National Averages

Avg Cap Rate
4.9%
National avg: 5.5%
Below average
Median Home Price
$370,000
National avg: $371,696
✓ More affordable
Vacancy Rate
7.8%
National avg: 7.6%
Above avg vacancy
2BR Median Rent
$1,900/mo
National avg: $1,753/mo
Days on Market
34 days
National avg: 38 days
Price Growth YoY
+0.4%
National avg: +2.3%

National averages calculated across all 69 tracked US investor markets. A cap rate above the national average suggests stronger cash flow potential relative to purchase price.

Related Guides & Resources
BRRRR Strategy Guide Vacancy Rate Calculator Rental Yield Calculator Market Rankings Best Market Data Tools All Markets
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