📊 Arizona · Housing Market 2026
Tucson Housing Market Data 2026
Median prices, cap rates, rent benchmarks, and investment outlook for Tucson, Arizona — data sourced from Zillow, HUD FMR, and Census ACS.
$290,000
Median Home Price
YoY: +1.5%
5.3%
Avg Cap Rate
Cash-on-cash: 5.5%
$1,350
Median Rent (2BR/mo)
YoY: +1.8%
8.0%
Vacancy Rate
High — watch carefully
37 days
Days on Market
Moderate pace
$290,000 / 5.3%
Price / Cap Rate
🟡 Moderate Market
📈 Market Analysis — Tucson, AZ
**2026 Tucson, Arizona Market Analysis**
Tucson enters 202
🔮 12-Month Predictive Outlook View All Markets →
Price Trend
→ Neutral
12-mo forecast: $293,937
Confidence: 92%
Rent Growth
→ Stable
12-mo forecast: $1,371/mo
Confidence: 90%
Emerging Score
50/100
Confidence: 92%
↓
Price Momentum
+1.5% YoY (national: +2.3%)
↓
Days on Market
37 days (national avg: 38)
Predictions are rule-based forecasts based on price momentum, rent data, vacancy trends, and population growth. Not investment advice.
See full rankings →
🏘️ Rent Breakdown — HUD Fair Market Rents
HUD Fair Market Rent represents the 40th percentile of gross rents paid by recent movers in Tucson. Used as a benchmark for Section 8 voucher limits and rental market analysis.
| Bedroom Count | Monthly Rent (HUD FMR) | Annual Rental Income | Est. Cap Rate at Median Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bedroom | $1,100/mo | $13,200/yr | 3.2% est. |
| 2 Bedrooms | $1,350/mo | $16,200/yr | 3.9% est. |
| 3 Bedrooms | $1,700/mo | $20,400/yr | 4.9% est. |
* Estimated cap rate uses the 70% rule (30% reserved for expenses). Actual cap rates vary by property and management style.
💰 Cost of Investing in Tucson
| Cost Item | Rate / Amount | Est. Annual Cost | Monthly Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Property Tax | 0.6% effective rate | $1,798 | $150/mo |
| Homeowners Insurance | Arizona avg premium | $1,500 | $125/mo |
| Total Tax + Insurance | Based on median home price of $290,000 | $275/mo | |
These figures reflect state-level averages. Property tax rates vary by county; insurance costs vary by property type, age, and claims history. Source: Tax Foundation (2025), NAIC (2024).
⚖️ How Tucson Compares to National Averages
Avg Cap Rate
5.3%
National avg: 5.5%
Below average
Median Home Price
$290,000
National avg: $371,696
✓ More affordable
Vacancy Rate
8.0%
National avg: 7.6%
Above avg vacancy
2BR Median Rent
$1,350/mo
National avg: $1,753/mo
Days on Market
37 days
National avg: 38 days
Price Growth YoY
+1.5%
National avg: +2.3%
National averages calculated across all 69 tracked US investor markets. A cap rate above the national average suggests stronger cash flow potential relative to purchase price.
🛠️ Tools for Analyzing Tucson Deals
Cap Rate Calculator
Calculate cap rate from NOI and property price
Cash Flow Calculator
Monthly cash flow after all expenses
Property Analysis
AI-powered deal analysis with Tucson market context
Should I Buy This?
Instant AI due diligence with market benchmarks
Rental Optimization
Optimize rents with HUD FMR data for Tucson
Market Intelligence
Full AI market report for Tucson, AZ
Related Guides & Resources
📊 Embed This Market Data
Add live Tucson market data to your blog, newsletter, or real estate site with a simple iframe embed.
Preview: view embed card →