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📊 California · Housing Market 2026

San Diego Housing Market Data 2026

Median prices, cap rates, rent benchmarks, and investment outlook for San Diego, California — data sourced from Zillow, HUD FMR, and Census ACS.
🟡 Moderate Market Median Price:$820,000 Cap Rate:3.3% Vacancy:5.2% 12-Mo Outlook:→ Neutral
$820,000
Median Home Price
YoY: +4.8%
3.3%
Avg Cap Rate
Cash-on-cash: 3.3%
$2,900
Median Rent (2BR/mo)
YoY: +4.2%
5.2%
Vacancy Rate
Moderate
35 days
Days on Market
Moderate pace
$820,000 / 3.3%
Price / Cap Rate
🟡 Moderate Market

📈 Market Analysis — San Diego, CA

**2026 San Diego Real Estate Market Analysis**

San Diego enters 2026

🔮 12-Month Predictive Outlook View All Markets →

Price Trend
→ Neutral
12-mo forecast: $855,733
Confidence: 92%
Rent Growth
→ Stable
12-mo forecast: $3,009/mo
Confidence: 90%
Emerging Score
49/100
Confidence: 92%
Price Momentum +4.8% YoY (national: +2.3%)
Days on Market 35 days (national avg: 38)
Predictions are rule-based forecasts based on price momentum, rent data, vacancy trends, and population growth. Not investment advice. See full rankings →

🏘️ Rent Breakdown — HUD Fair Market Rents

HUD Fair Market Rent represents the 40th percentile of gross rents paid by recent movers in San Diego. Used as a benchmark for Section 8 voucher limits and rental market analysis.

Bedroom Count Monthly Rent (HUD FMR) Annual Rental Income Est. Cap Rate at Median Price
1 Bedroom $2,300/mo $27,600/yr 2.4% est.
2 Bedrooms $2,900/mo $34,800/yr 3.0% est.
3 Bedrooms $3,800/mo $45,600/yr 3.9% est.
* Estimated cap rate uses the 70% rule (30% reserved for expenses). Actual cap rates vary by property and management style.

💰 Cost of Investing in San Diego

Cost ItemRate / AmountEst. Annual CostMonthly Cost
Property Tax 0.7% effective rate $5,986 $499/mo
Homeowners Insurance California avg premium $1,400 $117/mo
Total Tax + Insurance Based on median home price of $820,000 $616/mo

These figures reflect state-level averages. Property tax rates vary by county; insurance costs vary by property type, age, and claims history. Source: Tax Foundation (2025), NAIC (2024).

⚖️ How San Diego Compares to National Averages

Avg Cap Rate
3.3%
National avg: 5.5%
Below average
Median Home Price
$820,000
National avg: $371,696
Above national avg
Vacancy Rate
5.2%
National avg: 7.6%
✓ Low vacancy
2BR Median Rent
$2,900/mo
National avg: $1,753/mo
Days on Market
35 days
National avg: 38 days
Price Growth YoY
+4.8%
National avg: +2.3%

National averages calculated across all 69 tracked US investor markets. A cap rate above the national average suggests stronger cash flow potential relative to purchase price.

Related Guides & Resources
BRRRR Strategy Guide Vacancy Rate Calculator Rental Yield Calculator Market Rankings Best Market Data Tools All Markets
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